Russian leader Vladimir Putin will exhaust Russia’s military and economic capacity to wage war in two years time, according to Ukraine’s top spy chief.
Lieutenant General Oleh Ivashchenko stated in an interview with The Times claims that, though Russia retains enough resources to continue fighting through 2027, but a loss of troops, dwindling morale and a struggling economy may impact Russia’s ability to wage war by 2028.
Western intelligence services suggest Putin’s nation is losing 6,000 more soldiers than it can recruit every month.
Figures produced by Ukraine, meanwhile, estimate that Russia has lost more than 1.5million troops – with as many as 450,000 deaths – since 2022.
Speaking at the Ukrainian military’s intelligence service headquarters in Kyiv, Ivashchenko told The Times: ‘Russia has military and economic resources for the next year, but we estimate it will end in 2028.’
Russia recruits roughly 1,000 people every day, sometimes 1,200, but look at these casualty figures.
Yesterday it was 1,410, the day before it was 1,511. Of those, around 60 per cent are killed in action.’
Another 18 months of fighting would likely result in a further 765,800 Russian casualties, with 459,480 dead and 306,320 wounded, statistics suggest.
And such startling figures, according to Ivashchenko, have resulted in a lack of enthusiasm for the war effort across the border in Moscow.
‘Morale is very low because nobody wants to fight,’ he added. ‘Also the morale of the Russian population is very low: most people do not really want war.’
